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You regularly filled your NCAA basketball tournament bracket by choosing the winners of 63 games using extensive research, precise strategy, and deep knowledge of the field. Now, there is only one area left: the tiebreak question, which asks for a prediction for the final score of the championship game.
How can you guarantee yourself winning?
Admittedly, the probability of your pool’s winner being determined by the tiebreak rule is probably low. You’re probably better off reading other advice about real choices, like ours. of men and ladies bracket analysis.
But here’s a simple way to take a guess at the tiebreak. Some competitions ask for points from each team, while others ask for a combined total of points. Looking last 20 men’s championship match:
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The average winning team had a score of 76 and an average of 74.7.
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The average score of the losing team was 69 and the average was 65.85.
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The median total combined score was 144 with a mean of 140.55.
The averages were pulled down by Connecticut’s low-scoring championship game in 2011, when they beat Butler 53-41. one of the worst title games in recent memory. If you want to exclude this outlier, you can add a dot or two to the numbers above.
Last year, in a #1 seeded showdown, Baylor beat Gonzaga 86-70 (156 total points). Even though both teams did not meet in the final this year, they are still number 1.
women title match scores show larger gaps between winners and losers: Average scores were 74.5 points for the winning team, 59 points for the losing team, and 133.5 points overall. But last year’s final was a tight, low-scoring competition: Stanford beat Arizona 54-53 (just 107 points overall).
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